Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000170 0.000188 0.000208 0.000231 0.000257 0.000285 0.000318
2025-03-30 0.000140 0.000168 0.000200 0.000240 0.000291 0.000351 0.000429
2025-04-06 0.000116 0.000146 0.000184 0.000235 0.000303 0.000390 0.000513
2025-04-13 0.000096 0.000127 0.000167 0.000223 0.000302 0.000410 0.000572
2025-04-20 0.000086 0.000117 0.000160 0.000224 0.000317 0.000452 0.000664
2025-04-27 0.000079 0.000112 0.000158 0.000229 0.000338 0.000502 0.000777
2025-05-04 0.000072 0.000104 0.000152 0.000227 0.000348 0.000538 0.000871
2025-05-11 0.000067 0.000099 0.000148 0.000229 0.000363 0.000583 0.000986
2025-05-18 0.000061 0.000093 0.000143 0.000228 0.000372 0.000618 0.001088
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000088 0.000139 0.000226 0.000381 0.000654 0.001198
2025-06-01 0.000053 0.000084 0.000134 0.000223 0.000387 0.000685 0.001301
2025-06-08 0.000048 0.000077 0.000126 0.000215 0.000382 0.000695 0.001364
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000074 0.000124 0.000217 0.000396 0.000745 0.001524
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000073 0.000125 0.000224 0.000423 0.000824 0.001763
2025-06-29 0.000040 0.000069 0.000119 0.000219 0.000425 0.000852 0.001892
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000063 0.000111 0.000208 0.000412 0.000849 0.001947
2025-07-13 0.000034 0.000060 0.000109 0.000209 0.000424 0.000901 0.002148
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000059 0.000109 0.000213 0.000445 0.000977 0.002424
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000212 0.000454 0.001023 0.002632
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000214 0.000469 0.001088 0.002910
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000212 0.000476 0.001135 0.003142
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000051 0.000099 0.000211 0.000484 0.001185 0.003396
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000049 0.000096 0.000208 0.000488 0.001225 0.003630